As a seasoned researcher with over two decades of experience under my belt, I’ve witnessed firsthand the incredible journey Bitcoin has taken from its humble beginnings to becoming a global phenomenon. The last few years have been nothing short of exhilarating, and as we stand on the precipice of 2025, I can’t help but feel a sense of anticipation tinged with a hint of nostalgia.
As we approach the end of the year, Bitcoin has been mainly moving sideways in its consolidation phase. As we transition into Q1 of 2025, there’s speculation that this could mark the start of a significant surge, potentially signaling the final stage of rapid growth which may propel Bitcoin to unprecedented heights.
2024’s final flickering candlelight is nearly out, making way for 2025’s bright first flame. With this powerful new light upon us, the cost of Bitcoin may find favorable winds pushing it towards unprecedented peaks in the upcoming year.
Bitcoin’s path from despair to the hope of a very bright future
From the heart of despair, when a strongly against Bitcoin administration aimed to suppress the ruler of cryptocurrencies, as well as the entire cryptocurrency community; to a forthcoming Trump administration that pledged to foster and boost Bitcoin and crypto growth in the US; this captivating tale of pioneering technological advancement has been intriguing to observe.
The Operation Chokepoint 2.0 has officially concluded. Gary Gensler, SEC Chairman, announced his resignation a day before Donald Trump’s second inauguration as President. Given the presence of pro-cryptocurrency individuals in significant roles within Trump’s administration, the outlook for the future appears incredibly promising in this sector.
Institutions are onboard
Institutions have embraced Bitcoin wholeheartedly, as evidenced by industry giants like Blackrock, the world’s largest asset management firm, rapidly acquiring BTC for their institutional clients. This surge in demand has propelled Spot Bitcoin ETFs to achieve unprecedented success since their launch, setting new records in the history of ETF introductions.
By incorporating MicroStrategy’s massive purchase of Bitcoin, along with an increasing number of companies following suit by accumulating Bitcoin in their reserves, you create a veritable powder keg waiting to detonate – a significant potential impact on the market.
$BTC follows sideways price action over last few weeks
Today’s Bitcoin (BTC) graph indicates a clear breakout from its upward-sloping channel, suggesting that the price may now be tracking along the lower boundary of this channel. This movement could potentially lead to a return towards approximately $90,000, which represents the predicted drop based on this downward trend.
In simpler terms, if you examine the Bitcoin price in recent times, you’ll notice that it has mostly moved horizontally, with a notable surge in mid-December pushing its value up to nearly $108,000, which was an all-time high.
At present, I’m observing that the price is climbing slightly above a significant horizontal support level at around $95,600. Above this, a new horizontal resistance has emerged, roughly around the $100,000 mark. The price action seems to be confined within this price range for now.
RSI downtrend has to be reversed
Looking at the past week, it’s evident that the current Bitcoin price surpasses the long-term uptrend line from 2021. Numerous candlewicks pointing downward suggest that Bitcoin bulls are maintaining the price above water. It seems plausible that once this period of consolidation ends, we might witness a significant price surge that could propel Bitcoin to new heights.
At the base of the graph, the Relative Strength Index suggests a potential upward trend reversal. The red marker indicates that the indicator has started to increase following its recent decline.
If verified at the end of the week, it’s crucial to observe if this indicator line can re-touch the ascending trendline. To prevent a bearish divergence, where price rises but the RSI falls, the indicator line should break through the falling trendline and reach a new high before reversing the downward trend. If it doesn’t, it might signal the end of this bull market.
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2024-12-27 14:05