- Bitcoin price momentum has stalled, with geopolitical tensions affecting hedging activity
- Will BTC hold on to the $100k-$110k price range?
So, Bitcoin’s [BTC] price is like that one friend who insists they’re fine while the world is on fire. It’s been hanging above $100k for weeks, despite the Middle East being a bit of a hot mess. Will it cling to the $100k-$110k range? Who knows! Summer is coming, and we all know what that means: a collective nap for the market. 😴
But here’s the kicker: neither the bulls nor the bears seem to have a clue what’s going on after the Fed decided to hit the pause button this week. So, what’s next? A crystal ball reading? 🥴
Bitcoin at low risk, but uncertainty persists
On the bright side, Bitcoin’s risk level is as low as my motivation to go to the gym right now. Analysts from Swissblock and Bitcoin Vector are saying it’s been in a “low risk” zone since April. Who knew? 🧐
They’ve got this fancy BTC risk indicator that’s been waving a little flag of safety. This coincided with a Q2 rebound from $75k to over $100k, giving the bulls a reason to strut around like they own the place.
But hold your horses! If that indicator decides to switch gears and the price dips below $100k, we might be in for a wild ride downwards. 🚨
“If it closes below $100k, downside momentum could accelerate. If the Risk-Off Signal shifts toward high-risk, that’s the moment to act.”
Meanwhile, our friends at Swissblock are waving their caution flags, saying BTC’s price momentum has stalled and even dipped into the negative zone. Yikes! 🥴
“If momentum turns up with strength—that’s the bullish signal. For now, we’re not seeing it yet.”

And guess what? The Options market is just as confused. According to QCP Capital, the market is on “pause” like a Netflix show you forgot to finish. A typical summer lull could drag things down, and they’re saying the market might be leaning towards downside risk protection. Sounds fun, right? 🙄
“Crypto stays quiet, but under the hood, risk sentiment is shifting. $BTC and $ETH risk reversals favor downside, pointing to active hedging.”
In layman’s terms, it looks like there might be some bearish vibes lurking around. Given the uncertainty and the experts’ neutral to bearish Bitcoin projections, the short-term price action could be driven by a liquidation hunt. 🕵️♂️
According to CoinGlass’s 30-day liquidation map, the key price magnets are $111k, $109k, $103k, and around $100k. The nearest liquidity pool is hanging out at $103k and $100k, hinting at a possible liquidity sweep lower before a potential hike towards $109k if the market feels generous. 🤞
But below $100k? Not much liquidity there—so keep your eyes peeled; it could be the short-term support to watch. 👀

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2025-06-20 20:17