Bitcoin, indifferent as a camp guard in deep winter, pushed through $96,000 at the monthâs dawnâits highest since February. Faces lit by computer screens rejoiced as digital gold pressed on towards the iron gates of $97,000, surging nearly 30% from its April shadows. The mob, always hungry for risk, gobbled up the Greed Index as it ticked up to 55âjubilation, or simply a reprieve in the forced labor camp of modern finance? đ¤ˇââď¸
Yet not only in the crypto barracks did the chorus rise. In smoke-filled rooms, Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 swelled like ration lines after a good rumor, each advancing over 350 pointsâthough still, the bread tasted of sawdust, and the future reeked of uncertainty. Here, let us parade the top three reasons why Bitcoin might gnaw its way to $100,000 in May; a jailbreak to all-time highs, perhaps, or just another delusion from Comrade Market.
1. The Death Cross Cometh NotâThe Angel of Despair Turns Away
The wardens of technical analysis awaited the death crossâa fitting name, a grim harbinger. The 50-day average was to sink below the 200-day, a ritual marking bearish doom. But like a pardon from the commandant at the eleventh hour, Aprilâs averages merely brushedâdeath was delayed, hope by a hairâs width. It recalls September 2023: a near-execution, then a miraculous 83% march upward. One can almost hear the whisperâmaybe, just maybe, another rally will sneak in.
Other clandestine patterns fortify this optimism. A double-bottomâmachine-stamped at $76,560âconfessed to a neckline breakout at $88,830. Even a modest bullish flag waved (yellow, the color of faded ration tickets). These portents, scrawled in the charts, tempt the desperate to expect further gains in Mayâmerciful, if only briefly.
2. Institutional DemandâThe Party Commissars Arrive
One might say the well-dressed functionaries of capital have come knocking on Bitcoinâs rusted gates. In April, spot Bitcoin ETFs raked in $2.9 billionâtallying a staggering $39 billion in tribute. Somewhere, accountants are singing gulag ballads in three-part harmony. đś
Corporations too, eager to please the central committee (their shareholders), are feverishly stacking digital coins. Cantor Fitzgerald, Tether, and the mysterious SoftBank now march under the banner of Twenty One, a firm with a singular mission: acquire Bitcoin, perhaps as insurance for the next cycle of disappointment. Even Trump’s media fiefdom and GameStop have declared intentions to hoard Bitcoinâno word if they plan to storm the Winter Palace while they’re at it.
Why this surge in institutional fervor? Bitcoin, ever unreliable, now masquerades as a safe havenâa wolf in sheepâs ledger. Since Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs, digital gold has apparently outpaced all other risk assets. Proletariat, beware: the party is for the few.
3. Fed, Trump, and the Dance of the Endangered Bureaucrats
One cannot discount the stench of desperation drifting from Washington. As economic data trickles in like watered-down soup, both Trump and the Federal Reserve find themselves eyeing the escape tunnel.
Consumer confidence withered in April; private sector jobs barely covered the cotsâ61,000 added, short of even half the estimate. The American economy shrank for the first time since 2022. In the old country, heads would roll; here, investors simply reach for the whiskey bottle (and maybe a cold wallet).
With such prospects, both Trump and the Fed may be forced to pivot in May. Trump, ever the showman, could resume negotiating trade dealsâa kind of haggling for extra potatoes on the dinner line. Meanwhile, the Fed may flutter white flags, hinting at interest rate cuts. If both leap, it could bulldoze the obstacles facing risk assets, sending Bitcoin higherâor at least providing the illusion of escape. âď¸đŞđ
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2025-05-01 19:12