Bitcoin (BTC) falls to major support – bounce now likely

As a seasoned researcher with battle-tested patience and a keen eye for market patterns, I’ve weathered countless market storms.


Initially, the Bitcoin value dropped to $63,500 following the Federal Reserve’s announcement that they wouldn’t adjust interest rates. Yet, hints of potential future rate decreases were given, causing a stock market rally. Is it possible that Bitcoin might experience similar growth based on these indications?

Noise is obscuring the obvious

Markets are being overrun with noise. Did the Fed indicate a potential future interest rate reduction? How much of the Mt. Gox Bitcoin will be auctioned off? Will the U.S. government unload any additional Silk Road Bitcoins? Are the large Bitcoin investors accumulating more Bitcoin? Will Bitcoin fail to break through the $70,000 barrier again?

As someone who has been following and investing in Bitcoin for several years, I can confidently say that this digital currency is more than just a passing fad or financial anomaly. While its price fluctuations can be volatile and unpredictable, my personal experience and understanding of its underlying technology lead me to believe that it is here to stay.

$BTC latest correction has been arrested

For the past few days, Bitcoin’s price has been on a downward trend in the short term. However, this decline appears to have halted, as Bitcoin didn’t reach a new low recently. Instead, it rebounded from the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which is intriguing given the increasing optimism in the market and the reset of momentum indicators. This could suggest that Bitcoin may climb back towards the upper trend line of its bull flag formation once again.

$BTC inverse head and shoulders could come into play

By stepping back to observe the broader perspective, one can identify the bull flag pattern more clearly. Here, you’ll notice an intriguing alignment of Fibonacci levels with Bitcoin’s (BTC) price. If BTC price rebounded from the 0.382 level, this would be a strong bullish signal, suggesting that BTC might have another opportunity to break free from the bull flag.

If the price were to decrease from its current position or from the peak of the bull flag, an inverse head and shoulders pattern could materialize. The potential right shoulder of this pattern might form near $60,000 (which is approximately 0.618 of the maximum) or even slightly lower at around $57,000 (approximately 0.786 of the maximum).

Bitcoin will thrive on the increased liquidity to come

As a crypto investor, I firmly believe that global central banks, including the Federal Reserve, may need to lower interest rates to inject liquidity into the financial markets, as failing to do so could lead to catastrophic economic breakdowns. In such an environment, Bitcoin, being a decentralized and digital currency, has the potential to flourish. This bull market for cryptocurrencies shows no signs of slowing down.

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2024-08-01 13:11