Bitcoin’s Big Brother Syndrome: Is Altcoin Season a Pipe Dream for 2025?

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  • Bitcoin‘s dominance is now the market’s alpha, leaving altcoins to sulk in the shadows of global trade wars.
  • The Federal Reserve has decided to ignore all the “please, lower the rates” pleas and instead signaled more Quantitative Tightening (QT). Because who doesn’t love a little more tightening, right?

Well, there goes that idea. The dreams of a 2025 altcoin rally were crushed faster than a cryptocurrency under a government regulation stamp, after the Federal Reserve announced it was holding its benchmark lending rate steady between 4.25 and 4.5 percent. They also threw a nice little party for themselves by continuing to reduce their holdings of Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities. Because, you know, less money flowing into the market is *exactly* what we needed right now.

Meanwhile, global trade negotiations have left more institutional investors looking for the comfort of gold and Bitcoin, like someone desperately searching for a blanket during a thunderstorm. Gold prices have been climbing, with some predicting a meteoric rise beyond $3,500 an ounce—because why not add some drama to the economic mix? Bitcoin, too, has reached new local highs, sitting comfortably above 65 percent dominance, at least during the North American trading session on Wednesday. Who needs altcoins when Bitcoin’s the life of the party?

Crypto Experts Weigh In: The Dream of Altseason 2025

So, what does Benjamin Cowen, the guru of all things crypto, have to say about this? According to the man himself, Bitcoin’s dominance will climb further, likely reaching 66 percent, thanks to the ongoing QT. The flight of capital from altcoins to Bitcoin and stablecoins has effectively put a pause on the altcoin season, or, as some might call it, a “season of dreams.” 💤

“With QT continuing, it seems likely that #ALT / #BTC pairs will continue dropping (and Bitcoin Dominance will likely go to 66% soon). #ALT / #BTC pairs will likely drop to 0.32 (currently 0.34) with an eventual target of 0.25.”

— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) May 7, 2025

The ALT/BTC pair, long the crystal ball of crypto cycles, has now become the symbol of Bitcoin’s unshakable reign. Cowen predicts that this pairing will dip further, dropping from 0.34 to 0.32, with a potential pit stop at 0.25. In short, altcoins might as well start practicing their best “desperate for attention” moves.

But wait—there’s a twist! Wall Street experts are still holding out hope that the Fed will eventually cave to executive pressure and initiate Quantitative Easing (QE), coupled with a nice rate cut, which would trigger a crypto rally resembling the glory days of 2017. Who doesn’t love a good “back from the dead” story? Time to dust off those old altcoin dreams…

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2025-05-08 00:04