Dogecoin price stalls as DOGE ETF approval odds fall

As a seasoned analyst with over two decades of experience in the financial markets, I find myself intrigued by the ongoing developments surrounding Dogecoin (DOGE). My extensive background has given me a unique perspective on market trends and the potential impact of regulatory decisions.

In this case, the weaker odds for a DOGE ETF are concerning, but not entirely surprising given the absence of an application from financial services companies. However, I’ve seen time and again that the crypto market can be unpredictable, so it wouldn’t shock me if a filing were announced soon, especially if the SEC under Paul Atkins shows flexibility on crypto funds.

Looking at the technical analysis, DOGE seems poised for a rebound, with bulls targeting the resistance at $0.4836. However, a drop below the support level of $0.2650 could signal further downside potential. I’d advise investors to keep a close eye on this coin and be prepared for potential volatility.

On a lighter note, one might say that Dogecoin is like a dog chasing its tail – always moving forward but never quite reaching its goal. But who knows, maybe 2025 will be the year DOGE finally catches its tail!

As an analyst, I observed that the price action of Dogecoin stayed relatively stable throughout the week, possibly due to a decrease in the probability of a Dogecoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) according to Polymarket odds.

On December 2nd, Dogecoin (DOGE), the leading meme-based cryptocurrency, experienced an approximately 6% increase, pushing its weekly gains up to 7.5%. Yet, this upward trend could potentially reverse due to a survey by Polymarket indicating that the likelihood of the Securities and Exchange Commission endorsing a Dogecoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2021 has decreased to 26%, having peaked at 50% just last week.

Contrastingly, those using Polymarket anticipate that an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) based on Solana (SOL) might get the green light from the SEC by year’s end, with a likelihood of about 76%. Similarly, for Ripple (XRP), the probability of an ETF is estimated to be approximately 70%.

The lack of a Dogecoin ETF application from any financial service company seems to be the main reason for its less favorable prospects. On the other hand, WisdomTree – a manager of $100 billion in assets – has submitted an application for a Ripple ETF. Notably, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has until January 31st to decide on Solana ETF proposals submitted by firms like Grayscale, 21Shares, and VanEck.

As a seasoned investor with over two decades of experience under my belt, I have witnessed the evolution of various financial markets and the emergence of innovative investment products that have reshaped the financial landscape. Given my background, I am optimistic about the potential for companies to file for a Dogecoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) should the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), under Paul Atkins’ leadership, demonstrate flexibility towards crypto funds.

From my perspective, this could pave the way for easier approval of such an ETF, considering that Dogecoin operates on a proof-of-work mechanism similar to Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency I have closely followed and invested in since its early days. While I acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in crypto assets, I believe that a Dogecoin ETF could offer investors an exciting opportunity to diversify their portfolios and tap into this growing market segment.

However, it is essential for regulatory bodies like the SEC to exercise caution while fostering innovation, ensuring that investor protection remains paramount. A balance must be struck between encouraging growth and maintaining robust oversight to safeguard investors’ interests. With this in mind, I eagerly await developments regarding Dogecoin ETFs and their potential approval by the SEC under Paul Atkins’ tenure.

Dogecoin is quite influential within the cryptocurrency sector, boasting a market capitalization of about $50 billion. However, it’s worth noting that this figure is around $16 billion less compared to MicroStrategy’s valuation. MicroStrategy, on the other hand, manages various ETFs that involve leveraged and covered call strategies.

The performance of Crypto Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is thriving because they provide a means for institutional investors to enter the crypto market. Currently, Bitcoin ETFs collectively manage more than $105 billion in assets, while Ethereum-focused funds have over $12 billion under management.

Dogecoin price analysis

As an analyst, I’ve observed that Dogecoin (DOGE) hit a low of $0.2635 back in December, but it has since bounced back to $0.3382. Currently, it’s moving towards the 50-day moving average, and the Relative Strength Index is trying to break free from its downward trendline.

The Percentage Value Indicator shows a bullish signal (bullish crossover), while also indicating that investors continue to build up their holdings of DOGE, as suggested by the Accumulation-Distribution Indicator staying high.

Due to recent developments, it’s expected that the price of the coin could bounce back. The bulls aim to reach a resistance at $0.4836, which was the highest point in 2024. On the other hand, if the price drops below the support level of $0.2650, it might indicate more potential for a downward trend.

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2025-01-02 19:10