Polymarket Hires Nate Silver After $265M Bets on Election

As an experienced financial analyst with a strong background in data analysis and market trends, I am particularly intrigued by Polymarket’s recent strategic hire of renowned statistician and writer Nate Silver. Silver’s reputation for accurate election forecasting through his FiveThirtyEight service is well-known, making him an invaluable addition to the team.


Nate Silver, a well-known statistician and writer, has joined the advisory team of Polymarket, a prominent crypto-prediction market platform, to strengthen their strategic initiatives.

Silver, renowned for his U.S. election predictions since the inception of FiveThirtyEight, has since relinquished his role in that service after selling it. Polymarket, on the other hand, has seized the opportunity presented by the ongoing presidential race. An impressive $265 million have already been staked on its outcome. The platform’s prediction market presently favors Donald Trump as the strong favorite, with a 70% likelihood of securing the election victory.

Users can look forward to a diverse range of prediction markets based on news events with Silver’s involvement. Silver extends its coverage beyond elections to include baseball and basketball as well.

Starting in 2020, Polymarket has amassed a total investment of $70 million from various investors. Notable among these are Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin and Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, an early supporter of CoinDesk’s mother company Bullish.

Expert: The Vice President of Polymarket, David Rosenberg, told Axios that users would be charged fees for their transactions on the platform in the future. Over $400 million worth of wagers have been made on Polymarket’s markets this year, spanning topics such as pop culture, sports, politics, and science.

Having Silver on board is expected to enrich Polymarket’s offerings with greater analytical complexity. This added depth is likely to attract a larger user base seeking insightful data-driven predictions across various industries.

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2024-07-17 21:57