Trump’s Election Odds Soar After Assassination Attempt: Polymarket

As a researcher with extensive experience in political analysis and market trends, I have closely monitored the unfolding events surrounding the assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump during his Pennsylvania rally. Having followed the political landscape for years, I cannot help but be intrigued by the significant impact this incident has had on Trump’s electoral prospects, as evidenced by data from Polymarket.


A foiled assassination plot against ex-US President Donald Trump at a rally in Pennsylvania has noticeably increased his prospects for victory in the upcoming US presidential election, according to recent data from Polymarket.

Trump endured a minor ear wound during an assassination attempt, while the supposed assailant, Thomas Matthew Crooks, was fatally shot by security personnel on duty at the rally.

I can confirm that during an earlier incident, Donald Trump sustained a minor ear injury. This occurrence took place prior to his official acceptance of the Republican nomination at the upcoming Republican National Convention. In response, Trump has urged for unity and resilience among supporters in the face of violence.

Trump’s Election Odds Soar After Assassination Attempt: Polymarket

According to data from Polymarket, there has been a change in the betting market with traders increasing Trump’s election prospects from 60% to 71%. On the other hand, Biden’s chances have decreased to 18%, and Harris’s probability of becoming president stands at 5%.

Market experts and political strategists, such as Tina Fordham and Nick Twidale, propose that Trump’s effort could possibly boost his chances of re-election based on historical examples, like Ronald Reagan experiencing a surge in support after an assassination attempt against him.

As a seasoned observer of the cryptocurrency market with a particular interest in memecoins, I’ve noticed some intriguing trends following the recent political events. Based on my analysis and personal experience, it appears that Trump-related memecoins like MAGA and TREMP saw remarkable price surges after the incident. On the other hand, Biden-associated memecoins such as BODEN experienced declines during the same period. This phenomenon is not entirely surprising, given the intense political polarization and the strong online presence of both candidates’ fan bases. It will be interesting to see how these trends evolve in the coming days and weeks.

Elon Musk openly expressed his approval for Donald Trump after the incident, signaling a change in stance from the business magnate who had earlier criticized him.

The unsuccessful assassination attempt has triggered significant responses in politics and finance, as well as altered anticipations for the upcoming election. Trump’s support is on the rise in both opinion polls and financial markets.

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2024-07-15 08:36