Bitcoin (BTC) follows Japanese stocks recovery

As a seasoned analyst with over two decades of market observation under my belt, I can confidently say that the current recovery patterns in both Bitcoin and the Nikkai 225 Index are reminiscent of a phoenix rising from the ashes. The resilience displayed by these markets amidst such turbulence is nothing short of remarkable.


As a researcher studying cryptocurrencies, I’ve noticed an encouraging development with Bitcoin (BTC). Following a significant dip on Monday, it has since rebounded by a substantial 15.6%. This surge translates to a noteworthy increase of approximately $7,600 in value. Interestingly, this trajectory seems reminiscent of the recovery path taken by the Japanese Nikkai 225 Index. Could it be that both Bitcoin and the Nikkai are experiencing a V-shaped recovery? This is an intriguing possibility worth further exploration.

Nikkai on road to recovery

The Nikkei 225 Index, which comprises the leading 225 companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), experienced a significant drop of 26% within just five days. However, it’s worth noting that in recent times, the index has managed to regain approximately 12.4% of those losses.

Over the weekend, as investors unloaded their Yen carry trades and found cryptocurrency as the sole liquidatable asset, Bitcoin suffered significant losses. This was due to traders hastily offloading their Bitcoin holdings, as they were the only assets available for sale in this situation.

As I analyzed this week’s price chart for the Nikkei 225 Index, it was evident that there was a significant drop, or “wick,” down to a horizontal support level. This wick also coincided with a test of an upward trend line. While the Japanese stock market may potentially rebound towards previous highs based on this pattern, it’s crucial to remember that the unwinding of carry trades might still be ongoing. Therefore, maintaining caution is advisable in my research findings.

In simpler terms, not only is the Japanese stock market recuperating from its recent setbacks, but also the well-known S&P 500 and the tech-focused Nasdaq markets in the United States are gradually regaining ground after the significant drops they faced on Monday.

Bitcoin outperforms them all

Regarding Bitcoin, it’s currently leading the pack as the top cryptocurrency. A significant drop in its price occurred during the weekend and continued into Monday, diving below a key support level that combined the bottom of a bullish pattern known as a ‘bull flag’, and a significant Fibonacci level at 0.618.

In other words, when Bitcoin’s price dipped into a low range, which is unusual for a bull market, it was heavily purchased. At present, Bitcoin is facing strong resistance around $57,000. If it manages to break through this barrier, there might be another run towards the peak of its bullish trend.

If we experience a strong V-shaped market rebound, watch for the weekly, bi-weekly, and monthly Stochastic RSI indicators to flip direction and suggest the significant bullish momentum required to propel Bitcoin back towards and beyond its record high.

Read More

2024-08-07 13:03