One finds oneself informed by the estimable Coutts that the entirety of global liquidity has now ballooned to an almost absurd summation approaching $140 trillion — a dizzying rebound after years spent in the doldrums.
Our sage commentator, posting his insights upon that modern soapbox known as X (formerly the more dignified Twitter), declared liquidity to be the historical gasoline to asset-price bonfires. With central banks apparently ambling behind the economic festivities like a tipsy butler, he foresees a further 10% swell in global liquidity — roughly $13 trillion more to splash about in the coming twelvemonth.
“By my blended regression conjurations,” he charmed the crowd, “this translates to a BTC price soaring to the dizzying heights of $186,000. Those valiant souls who clutched their ledgers amid recent market squalls shall find themselves handsomely rewarded in the morrow.”
2/2
Central banks, bless their little hearts, are trailing behind the parade, allowing global liquidity to possibly inflate by $13 trillion (a neat 10%) over the year ahead.
This spells an illustrious $186,000 per Bitcoin, if you trust my rather dashing regression model.
The steadfast accumulators during the recent tempest? Fortunate fellows all.
— Jamie Coutts CMT (@Jamie1Coutts)
Volatility? Bitcoin Laughs at Your Traditional Assets
Further delving into the turbulent seas of market whims, Coutts observed a curious Devil’s bargain — while the old stalwarts of bonds and equities teeter like intoxicated dancers, Bitcoin’s volatility has mellowed to the tunes of a refined symphony.
“Volatility,” he pontificated, “is not the ogre it’s made out to be, providing one is adequately compensated with richer returns. Alas, bonds and equities seem more miserly in their generosity when stacked up against Bitcoin’s flamboyant performances.”
The numbers tell their own cheeky tale: over the last four months, Bitcoin’s volatility-adjusted yield snubbed traditional indices with a -7.12 versus a humiliating -45.08 for the S&P 500. This metric, the volatility-normalized return, is the market’s own measure of who’s dancing nimbly with risk — and Bitcoin appears to pirouette with far greater grace.
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2025-04-25 01:06