Coinbase Slams CFTC’s Proposed Ban on Prediction Markets

As a seasoned researcher with a knack for understanding the intricacies of financial markets and regulations, I find Coinbase’s stance against the CFTC’s proposal to be justified and thoughtful. The proposed ban on certain prediction markets seems overly broad and lacks clarity, which are red flags for any rulemaking.


A major cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, has strongly opposed the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) proposal to ban certain prediction markets. The crypto exchange argues that the proposed rule exceeds the CFTC’s authority and fails to recognize the benefits of these markets.

In his comprehensive commentary, Coinbase’s Chief Legal Officer, Paul Grewal, expressed concerns about the vague and expansive description of “gaming” in the proposal. This ambiguity might result in a wide-reaching prohibition on prediction markets.

Coinbase Slams CFTC’s Proposed Ban on Prediction Markets

According to Grewal, the evaluation of contracts “in general” as outlined in the proposal is not beneficial for the public and goes beyond the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) legal power. It’s also worth noting that the proposal overlooks the advantages prediction markets bring to the public.

Grewal continued by stating that the CFTC’s suggested ban deviates from the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA), as it enforces an overall ban, rather than examining each contract individually to make informed decisions.

As an analyst, I find myself in agreement with Grewal’s perspective that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) definition of “gaming” appears inconsistent with the original legislative intent. It seems the CFTC has been applying this term erroneously, stretching its usage beyond traditional games of chance to encompass events such as elections and professional awards.

As an analyst, I too have voiced my concerns regarding the CFTC’s cost-benefit analysis. I believe this assessment fails to acknowledge the economic advantages inherent in prediction markets, particularly their accuracy and efficiency in predicting future events. I propose that rather than imposing a comprehensive ban, the CFTC should consider allocating additional resources for contract reviews, ensuring a more nuanced approach towards regulation.

As a crypto investor, I’ve strongly advocated for a reconsideration of the proposed rules by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Instead, I urge them to work closely with all parties involved, including us investors, to establish a more equitable strategy that not only encourages innovation but also prioritizes public interest.

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2024-08-09 10:44