Ah, Ethereum, that elusive creature of the digital realm, has found itself in a rather unfortunate predicament this year, trailing behind its more illustrious cousin, Bitcoin. It seems to be stuck in a technical bear market, having taken a nosedive of 22% from its lofty heights of 2024. One might say it’s like a playwright who forgot his lines on opening night.
Currently, Ethereum (ETH) is languishing at $3,200, a price that brings to mind the last time one checked their bank account after a night out. This decline, dear reader, is largely due to the Ethereum Foundation’s relentless selling spree of its substantial ETH stash, coupled with the network’s waning popularity against sprightly competitors like Tron (TRX) and Solana (SOL). It’s a classic case of “out of sight, out of mind.”
Yet, amidst this gloom, a flicker of hope remains. Several signs suggest that Ethereum might just be on the brink of a bullish breakout, perhaps even reaching the fabled $5,000 mark in the weeks to come. Who knew a digital currency could be so dramatic?
Firstly, history has a funny way of repeating itself, especially in February. Since 2019, Ethereum has managed to post positive returns every February, with an average performance of 17% since 2017. While past performance is no guarantee of future success, one can’t help but feel a twinge of optimism that Ethereum might just surprise us this February. After all, who doesn’t love a good comeback story?
Secondly, the data from CoinGlass reveals a curious trend: Ethereum balances on centralized exchanges have been dwindling. The total volume has dipped to 16.04 million, down from a high of 16.09 million earlier this month. This decline suggests that holders are moving their ETH to self-custody wallets, a bullish signal that indicates a reduction in sell pressure. It’s like watching a group of friends decide to keep their snacks to themselves instead of sharing with the whole party.
Moreover, the Ethereum whales are at it again, accumulating the coin like it’s the last slice of pizza at a party. Thirteen whales took Monday’s crash as a cue to buy more, signaling their expectation of a price rise. Among these buyers is none other than Donald Trump’s World Liberty Finance, now holding ETH worth nearly $200 million. Who knew politics and crypto could mix so well?
In the last 24 hours, 13 mega whales, each holding over 10,000 #Ethereum $ETH, have joined the network. This signals significant accumulation activity!
— Ali (@ali_charts) January 28, 2025
Ethereum price analysis
The weekly chart reveals that Ethereum has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline resting at $4,085. This pattern is a well-known bullish reversal signal, much like a plot twist in a Chekhov play. A confirmed breakout above this neckline could herald further gains, or at least a round of applause from the audience.
Additionally, Ethereum has entered the fourth part of the Elliot Wave pattern, which is typically followed by a fifth wave—a bullish sign, if ever there was one. The coin is also buoyed by the 50-week and 100-week moving averages. If Ethereum manages to break above the inverse H&S neckline at $4,085, it could very well rally further, potentially reaching the psychological milestone of $5,000. Now, wouldn’t that be a plot twist worth celebrating?
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2025-01-28 17:33